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Rio Gold

Copper hits new high; Rio Tinto CEO bullish

Stock of copper major Rio Tinto Group (RIO:NYSE)—the world's third-largest mining firm—followed copper up, notching a 52-week high of $76.67 a share on Tuesday. And Rio Tinto CEO Tom Albanese foresees copper prices will stay strong for the foreseeable future.

In an interview this weekend with the Australian Broadcasting Corporation, Albanese predicted that declining ore grades and increasing production costs at the world's major copper mines—including Rio Tinto's—will keep copper production behind demand until new mines are opened in the next few years to address the widening supply deficit.

Copper prices have increased about 52% over the past 12 months as an ongoing global economic recovery has steadily raised industrial demand for copper, which is used extensively in construction, electronics and piping. Higher copper prices are causing an increase in copper thefts worldwide, as well as motivating manufacturers to substitute other metals, such as aluminum, for copper whenever possible.

Several major investment firms, such as Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd., Morgan Stanley, J.P. Morgan Securities and Barclay's Capital have recently bumped up their price forecasts for copper as 2011 is predicted to see a copper supply shortfall of over 800,000 tonnes, more than twice the shortfall in 2010.

High copper and iron prices propelled Rip Tinto to earn record net income of $14.3 billion in 2010, prompting the firm to increase its dividend and buy back $5 billion in common shares.

Albanese asserts that high copper prices have Rio Tinto and other producers scrambling to develop new mines—such as Rio Tinto's Mongolian Oyu Tolgoi copper project, as well as properties in the Americas and Australia—but the long time-frames inherent in mine development mean that no new major copper mines are expected to open this year or next.

As a result, the global copper supply deficit is projected to increase through 2012. And Albanese believes that over the long term—the next 15-20 years—industrial demand for copper and other metals will double from 2010 levels.

Another factor currently influencing the price of copper is the advent of physical copper-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which are speculatively buying up available copper and storing it, putting a further squeeze on industrial supplies and prices.

At Friday's close, copper traded at $4.54 a pound in New York and $9,961 a ton in London. Rio Tinto shares closed Friday at $74.27.

About the Author

buy gold,buy stocks-Gold Investor - An  online resource for the base metal, precious metal and gold (maybe world)  markets.  A gateway for research,  news, gold spot price data and  education for the exploration and mining sector.

What's your top 5 favorite albums of the 1970s?

1.Vol 4.-Black Sabbath
2.Led Zeppelin IV-Led Zeppelin
3.After The Gold Rush-Neil Young
4.Pronounced Leh-Nerd Skin-Nerd-Lynyrd Skynyrd
5.Rio Grande Mud-ZZ Top

1. Led Zeplin 1,2,3 and 4
2. Dark side of the moon - Pink Floyd
3. Machine Head - Deep Purple
4. Lynyrd Skynyrd
5. Can't by a Thrill - Steely Dan

thank you

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